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2010 VC Funding Outlook for Startups – Prepare for Winter (Part 3/3)

Both Sides of the Table

In the first post in this three part series I described why I believe the VC market froze between September 2008 – April 2009. I obviously don’t have a crystal ball so the economy could fare better than my gut, but here’s why I’m cautious for some time in 2010 or early 2011: Why is the future still so unpredictable?

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Half Of All VCs Beat The Stock Market

A VC: Musings of a VC in NYC

There has been this narrative about investing in VC funds that you have to get into the top quartile (25%) or possibly the top decile (10%) in order to generate good returns. I have heard that for as long as I have been in VC and probably have written it here a few times. As you can see, investing in VC funds can be very profitable.

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US Economic Risks (Sept 2010): Impact on Investors & Entrepreneurs

Both Sides of the Table

One year ago I predicted that in 2010/11 the economy, far from being on the path of permanent recovery was on a temporary resurgence and there was a strong possibility of a “double dip” recession. So I agreed to offer my current thinking on the economy and what it portends for the VC industry & fund raising for entrepreneurs.

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The Changing Structure of the VC Industry

Both Sides of the Table

The VC market has right-sized (returned back to mid 90′s levels & less competition). But it still takes VC to scale a business (thus large capital into industry winners like Uber, Airbnb, SnapChat, etc). But it still takes VC to scale a business (thus large capital into industry winners like Uber, Airbnb, SnapChat, etc).

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The VC Industry Norms Which Changed Over The Past Decade

Haystack

Having spent time around and then in the world of VC in the Bay Area during the last decade, I’ve been reflecting on how different norms in the industry have changed. At the start of 2010, there was some unwritten VC industry conventions that have been tested, challenged, and upended in the last decade.

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How to Create a Healthy Local Startup and Tech Community

This is going to be BIG.

In 2010, Antonio Garcia Martinez, the founder of AdGrok, wrote, “New York will always be a tech backwater, I don’t care what Chris Dixon or Ron Conway or Paul Graham say.” It can’t just all be from one company either—because only a small fraction of big company employees are ever going to want to work at a startup.

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Preparing Your Startup for the Next M&A Wave

Revolution

According to PitchBook , VC investments were down 30% in Q2 2022 compared with 2021, and IPOs hit a 50-year low. When deal-making slows, VC dollars typically favor the perceived market leader, starving other venture-backed businesses in the same space of capital.

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